Cutting Through the Noise
September 6, 2012
There was an article by David Berman in the Report on Business yesterday pointing out how bearish Wall Street strategists are these days (Time to Buy as Pros Turn Bearish). As a group, their recommended stock weighting is 44.4%, which is near its lowest level since 1985. This compares to a long-term average of 60-65%. In the...
Read MoreSeptember 1, 2012
Just as the baby boomers brought us free love and rock ’n’ roll, they’re also leading the way into pension-less retirement. Those who are near or just into retirement are in a tough spot. They have a long time time horizon and need investment returns that are...
Read MoreAugust 30, 2012
Scotiabank announced yesterday that it has reached an agreement to buy ING Bank of Canada for $3.1 billion. ING (Canada) put itself up for sale earlier this summer because its parent, Dutch-based ING Groep NV, is looking for funds to repay government...
Read MoreAugust 27, 2012
Bacon is everywhere these days. It’s in chocolate, ice cream, jam, scented candles and even toothpaste. Fast food chains, while no strangers to bacon, are jumping on the bandwagon by introducing such items as bacon sundaes (Burger King) and milkshakes...
Read MoreAugust 22, 2012
“Stock rally defies fears of a slumping economy.” That was the title on an article in today’s Report on Business. To me, it’s further evidence of the macro mania that I wrote about in last weekend’s Globe article. Investors are looking at the big picture (Spain...
Read MoreAugust 21, 2012
We try to limit how often we write about fees because we have an axe to grind (is more than 50 times a year too much?), but … David, Chris and I have come across a few situations in the last two weeks that caught our eye. In each case, the investor had a...
Read MoreAugust 18, 2012
After some extended dock time, I’ve been re-engaging in the realities of the capital markets. I put aside my summer reading list and am back on the hard core investment stuff. With the benefit of a fresh set of eyes, three things jumped out at me...
Read MoreAugust 13, 2012
I went for pizza the other week at a small restaurant in a seedy, though gentrifying part of town. The menu was written on a chalkboard and consisted of only 5 or 6 options. The wine was served in jars. The seating was communal. Nothing on the menu...
Read MoreAugust 3, 2012
As a young analyst at Richardson Greenshields, I worked with a big guy with an unusual name, Pentti Karkkainen. After years as a highly regarded oil analyst, Pentti now plies his trade in Calgary at KERN Partners, a private equity firm he co-founded. I introduce...
Read MoreJuly 30, 2012
A great, timeless sketch from Carl Richards. Richards is an American fee-based financial planner and author. His sketches appear in the New York Times Bucks Blog and he writes a column for Morningstar (USA). Through simple drawings, he makes complex financial concepts easy to understand. We admire that.
Read MoreJuly 25, 2012
We’ve been vocal about our aversion towards federal government bonds. We noted in our Q2 Report that the Government of Canada 10-year benchmark bond yield dropped below 1.6% in June, and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields sit below 1.5%. Both Canadian and U.S...
Read MoreJuly 23, 2012
It’s been a few months since we last checked in with Bruce. Things are good on the work and home fronts, and his portfolio is holding steady in a bumpy market (as of June 30th, he’s up about 3.5% year-to-date). The family took a two week holiday to California in the spring, which included stops at Disneyland for the kids and a few wineries in Santa Barbara for the adults, before settling in Palm Springs. The sun and cheap merlot had a lasting impact. Bruce has long wanted a...
Read MoreJuly 22, 2012
If you really want to delve into someone’s personality and character, take them golfing. There are few pastimes that are more revealing. Golf takes four to five hours to play, is laden with emotion and is mankind’s greatest equalizer - it humbles...
Read MoreJuly 12, 2012
Stock markets around the globe declined in the second quarter as investors focused on the ongoing debt saga in Europe. Bonds fared well as the yield on the Government of Canada benchmark 10-year bond dropped by roughly 0.4% and fell below 1.65% in early June to reach a new low (when yields fall, bond prices rise). Our funds held their ground for the most part and have provided strong...
Read MoreJuly 11, 2012
From our Quarterly Report: To generate returns in excess of the risk-free rate (GICs and government bonds), Steadyhand portfolios take four types of risk: interest rate, credit, liquidity and equity risk. If you think about portfolio construction as the process...
Read MoreJuly 7, 2012
There’s one research report in my reading pile I’ve been avoiding, although it eventually worked its way to the top. Vanguard, the giant U.S. mutual-fund company ($1.8-trillion U.S. under management) produces some great research, particularly in the...
Read MoreJuly 6, 2012
June 28, 2012
There is lots to worry about these days. Rob Arnott, of fundamental indexing fame, talks about the 3D hurricane - debt, deficits and demographics. As part of the hurricane, I’ve been questioning how sustainable U.S. corporate profit margins are, given...
Read MoreJune 23, 2012
A greed moment? So here we are. The economic outlook is bleak. Systematic risk is high. Investors are scared. And Warren Buffett’s words are ringing in my ears, “We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others...
Read MoreJune 21, 2012
It was announced this week that Yamana Gold is buying Extorre Gold Mines for $395 million. Yamana is one of the power houses in the mining industry, while Extorre is a smaller company that’s struggling to finance and develop a large silver mine in...
Read MoreJune 19, 2012
There are many headline-grabbing risks in today’s investment climate: Greece and the teetering European financial system; slowing growth in China; debt issues and the pending fiscal cliff in the U.S. Investors can’t be blamed for feeling concerned...
Read MoreJune 15, 2012
A friend of mine forwarded me a quote today from Credit Suisse (allegedly) that says it all: "The market is currently like a strapless bra; half of us are wondering what is holding it up and the other half are waiting for it to drop so they can grab the opportunity...
Read MoreJune 13, 2012
In our conversations with clients recently, many are shocked to hear the extent to which the Canadian market has trailed the U.S. and even global markets over the past few years. For much of the 2000’s, our market was the place to be. Resource stocks were...
Read MoreJune 11, 2012
As a follow-up to my last Globe column, which focuses on return expectations, I want to update our guidance to clients on asset mix. I’ll use the Founders Fund as a live example. The fund has a long-term asset mix of 60% stocks and 40% fixed income. (All the...
Read MoreJune 9, 2012
The market had a good run for a while, but now it’s right back to where it was.” “I haven’t made any money in 10 years.” “Whatever it is, I don’t want any more downside.” “I give up.” These statements reflect the sentiment of investors today. The headlines...
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