Cutting Through the Noise
July 8, 2011
Are you confused? I certainly am. It’s not clear whether investors are on a risk-taking binge, or are battening down the hatches for another market decline. There is plenty of evidence in support of the risk binge. Technology IPOs are coming out at exotic...
Read MoreJune 28, 2011
Canadian Couch Potato posted an interesting blog yesterday. Dan Bortolotti, the author of this highly-rated blog (in a recent Globe and Mail contest, it was voted the best investing blog in Canada), thinks we need to stop fighting about which is better...
Read MoreJune 24, 2011
We’ve had low interest rates for years, and really low rates for almost three. We’re used to them, and may even be getting complacent. I had more questions and concerns from clients about rising interest rates a year or two ago than I do now. Well, I’m here to...
Read MoreJune 20, 2011
In his June 6th letter, Tim Price of PFP Wealth Management in the UK provides a thoughtful take on our debt burden. “From a narrowly financial perspective, government debt is an asset class, albeit an asset class now offering vast potential for capital...
Read MoreJune 14, 2011
When I was an analyst on the brokerage side of the business (1980’s ... I was a teenager), there were a few iconic people that we all looked up to. Hugh Brown, who was with Burns Fry (now part of BMO), was one such person. He was the guy on...
Read MoreJune 10, 2011
We heard this week that Vanguard, the giant U.S. asset manager, is coming to Canada. As a permanent student of the business, I’ve been fascinated by Vanguard for many years. It’s an example of a company that grew through word of mouth. It went viral...
Read MoreJune 8, 2011
A 7-game playoff series is a unique animal. It’s a roller coaster ride with potential mood swings after each game. It reminds me a lot of investing actually. As I sit here with my Canucks jersey on, I feel like the boring realist. I’ve celebrated each victory and got pissed off after each loss, but in between, I've refused to get too caught up in the hyperbole. I've found myself in a few conversations that go...
Read MoreMay 27, 2011
“What I find of particular interest is the speed at which changes in communication technology are happening. It’s causing a great intergenerational knowledge gap, which is rather worrisome because many decision makers are still part of my old-fart...
Read MoreMay 13, 2011
Personal disclosure: I’m a dyed-in-the-wool active manager, but admit to having used exchange-traded funds in my portfolio. I’ve tread on the dark side for tax planning purposes and, occasionally, to hedge certain long-term positions. I also must...
Read MoreMay 4, 2011
There was news today that two private equity firms, Berkshire Partners LLC and OMERS Private Equity, are buying Husky International from Onex, another private equity company. This secondary buyout (defined as one private equity firm buying a company...
Read MoreApril 29, 2011
I’ve enjoyed watching the federal election campaign, but that’s where it ends. It will have no impact on markets (for more than a day), and my interest in being a public official has never been lower (it’s a brutal job). The office I’m interested in running for, however, is...
Read MoreApril 27, 2011
In this space, we’ve talked often about the conundrum cash-rich investors face. If they’ve been out of the market, or are sitting on a high proportion of cash, what do they do? This week there were some comments from Earl (the Pearl) Bederman at Investor...
Read MoreApril 25, 2011
How’s this for two totally different customer experiences. Recently I went into Sigge’s, a local cross-country ski store, to buy some equipment. I’ve been a ‘classic’ skier for years, but am increasingly feeling the pressure to keep up with my ‘skate skiing...
Read MoreApril 19, 2011
On the plane yesterday I was scanning the list of Canadian exchange-traded funds (ETFs). There were 145 funds on the list from four providers (BMO, Claymore, BlackRock and Horizons BetaPro). I know the numbers are higher now because I...
Read MoreApril 15, 2011
Value managers make a habit of scanning the 'new lows' list on the stock page. They’re hoping to find good companies that have stumbled and are oversold. Buyers of the funds run by those same managers, however, rarely do that. They most often go for the...
Read MoreApril 7, 2011
Irony n. incongruity between what might be expected and what actually occurs. My brother-in-law and I have an on-going banter going over the usage, or should I say incorrect usage, of the word irony (I lose regularly). Waking up this morning to an...
Read MoreApril 4, 2011
As managing director of a firm that manages US$1.2 trillion, Bill Gross’ words carry a lot of weight. Indeed, we blog on his writings often. In his April letter, he closes with a tight and powerful summary: “I am confident that this country [U.S.] will default on...
Read MoreApril 1, 2011
In Toronto last week, I was waiting for a friend at my Starbucks office. As I browsed the Sports section, I couldn’t help but overhear a nearby conversation between two investment types. The checked shirt was leading the discussion. “My overweight in...
Read MoreMarch 31, 2011
There was an article in yesterday’s Globe on closed-end bullion funds that are trading at a premium to their underlying value. Unlike mutual funds, closed-end funds have a fixed number of units available (in the short term at least) and trade on the market like...
Read MoreMarch 21, 2011
When I was a stock analyst at Richardson Greenshields in the 1980’s, I was forced to spend more time analyzing the Federal Budget than I ever wanted to. Everyone in the research team had to determine how the Finance Minister’s words would affect the...
Read MoreMarch 18, 2011
Over the last two years, I’ve spent most of my time encouraging people to get invested. As a result of the 2008-09 market meltdown, there were, and still are, too many investors who have strayed significantly from their long-term asset mix and are out of the...
Read MoreMarch 17, 2011
While it’s still premature to evaluate the impact that the tragedy in Japan will have on businesses and the economy, Edinburgh Partners (the manager of our Global Equity Fund) has conducted a preliminary assessment. Before addressing specifics, EPL notes...
Read MoreMarch 16, 2011
As the Japanese disaster unfolds, we are dealing with many cross-currents in the capital markets. The pictures, dramatic news stories and unknown nuclear dangers are all part of a mix that has the potential to create an overreaction by investors. In our case...
Read MoreMarch 10, 2011
Subsequent to posting my last blog (Hocus Pocus but no Magic), I came across some weighty comments that relate to the topic of fancy, highly-marketed investment products. In his latest piece, James Montier of U.S.-based GMO says, “If something seems too...
Read MoreMarch 7, 2011
I just read an article by Jade Hemeon in the February issue of Investment Executive, a trade magazine aimed at financial advisors. The piece was on a new product called BMO Lifetime Cash Flow. My experience with the article went something like this...
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