Blog

Cutting Through the Noise


March 4, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Forget Boring: It's Time to be Wary

In addition to my day job, I sit on investment committees for two institutional funds, so every quarter there is a pile of manager reports to read and many different perspectives to assimilate. Unfortunately, if I try to do too much in a short time, as I did this week...

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February 28, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Longleaf Partners - Quality Defined

While plowing through my research pile, I had the pleasure of reading the year-end report of the U.S.-based Longleaf Partners Funds. I’ve followed Longleaf, which is an extension of Southeastern Asset Management, for more than a decade and long...

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February 25, 2011

By Tom Bradley

All-Canada All-the-Time Part II

As an addendum to my post last week, I want to revisit the words safe and Canada. An excellent reason for investing in Canada is that it’s a safe(r) way to play the emerging markets, specifically China. Our resource stocks in particular will benefit from...

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February 21, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Just Tell Me How Much

A recent Angus Reid poll confirms what we have believed for a long time - many investors don’t know what they’re paying for their investment services (Steadyhand clients notwithstanding). The December 2010 poll revealed that 45% of respondents...

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February 18, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Risk-free? Be Careful What You Wish For

“Risk-free investing. Yes, it does exist.” These words are featured prominently in a financial institution’s ads we’re seeing this season. And every time I see them, it sets me off. Why? Because investing is all about taking risk. Without it, we get risk-free...

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February 17, 2011

By Tom Bradley

14,000

A reporter called yesterday wanting to talk about the S&P/TSX Composite Index breaking through 14,000. He wanted to know my thoughts on the market’s rapid rise from the low of March, 2009 – what had taken 5 years to accomplish in the prior run-up, took just...

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February 4, 2011

By Tom Bradley

How Bay Street Can Bridge its Credibility Gap

Bay Street, we have a problem. A PR problem. Our clients think we can do more than we’re capable of. Some think we know which stocks are going up and when to get in and out of the market. We’re setting them up for disappointment and as a...

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January 21, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Star Fund Managers a Bet Well Worth Taking

On the buy side, we have a love/hate relationship with our stars. We’re happy when they put big return numbers up on the board, bring recognition to our firms and attract new assets. We don’t like it, however, when we become too dependent on them. Then...

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January 12, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Monthly Income Funds - Some Useful Math

For investors that own a monthly income fund of some kind, Dan Hallett’s article in the Report on Business today is a must read. As Dan says, “the industry has created numerous products that kick out generous amounts of cash each month...

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January 7, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Investing Questions That Need to be Asked

“Finding the right answers is easy. Asking the right questions is the hard part.” As we open our calendars on 2011, this old adage has never been more apt. We’re being buffeted with crosswinds and it’s not obvious which ones will affect investment...

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January 6, 2011

By Tom Bradley

Facebook - Friending an Underwriter

It was reported this week that Goldman Sachs is investing $500 million in Facebook, which is a private company. Goldman’s 470 partners and select clients are also being given an opportunity to buy shares. One report suggested that this investment puts...

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December 24, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Who Knew? Things Investors Wish They Saw Coming

Hindsight bias: The inclination to see events that have occurred as being more predictable than they were before they took place. That’s Wikipedia’s definition of a behavioural weakness we all have. We take credit for having seen something...

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December 22, 2010

By Tom Bradley

The (De)Merits of Gold

Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital Management is one of my favourite market analysts. In a letter published last Friday, he takes on the topic of gold. It’s a wonderful piece and a must read for anyone who is interested in the shiny metal. There are too many pearls...

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December 10, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Watch for the Rise of the Independent Money Manager

We’re going through another wave of consolidation in the asset management industry. Last summer, Sceptre Investment Counsel merged into Fiera Capital. More recently, CI Financial bought Hartford’s mutual funds, Bank of Nova Scotia made an offer for DundeeWealth...

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December 8, 2010

By Tom Bradley

It's a Real Beauty

"We’ve priced this product to do well in the marketplace … it’s the right product for the times …” - Martin Nel, vice-president of personal bank lending and investment products, Bank of Montreal. I’m sure there are readers who wonder why we write so negatively about...

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December 3, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Trends and Truthdom - Running Out of Oil?

Is it a long-term trend or an investment truth? In my last Globe and Mail column (Much-maligned Greenback is Looking Increasingly Cheap), I held this question up to a number of economic factors - the declining supply of oil, China’s growth, Japan’s...

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December 2, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Be Like Prem

There was a story in the ROB today about how Prem Watsa’s investment acumen has made a huge difference to the Sick Kids Hospital Foundation. By reducing equities to 35% of the portfolio in 2007, the foundation held up well when markets were...

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December 1, 2010

By Tom Bradley

A Blue Streak on the Greenback

Here are a few quotes from the comments posted on the Globe and Mail's website following my column on the U.S. dollar: “... with a spendthrift administration and Helicopter Ben clearly willing to throw as much increasingly worthless paper as is...

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November 26, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Much-maligned Greenback is Looking Increasingly Cheap

In investing, it’s easy to mistake a transient trend for an eternal verity. Right now, for instance, many investors are tacitly assuming that China will grow at 10 per cent forever. Same goes for the notion that we’re running out of oil, that gold is the best store of...

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November 18, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Underperforming Assets - What to Buy?

My posting last week (A Simple Risk Management Tool to Avoid the Next Bubble) garnered lots of comment. In one of the kinder emails, a reader asked what weaker performing assets I would consider to be an attractive balance to the current high flyers...

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November 17, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Buffett on Gold

In response to my post last week, a friend and former partner, Dan Lewin of Lewin Capital Management, sent me a clip on gold. It came from a conversation between Ben Stein and Warren Buffett for Fortune magazine. When asked, "What about gold? Is this a classic bubble or what?", the Oracle of Omaha responded with the following...

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November 12, 2010

By Tom Bradley

A Simple Risk Management Tool to Avoid the Next Bubble

It’s only been 18 months since the nadir of our once-in-a-lifetime financial crisis, but it feels like we’re already forgetting some of the lessons learned. I’m referring to the fact that, in this market full of cross currents, we have another major asset class getting...

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November 11, 2010

By Tom Bradley

'Safe Spread' - A Gross Term

In his monthly letter, Bill Gross, the Managing Director of PIMCO and acclaimed ‘King of Bonds’, suggested that the Federal Reserve’s QE2 announcement last Wednesday (the second round of Quantitative Easing) “will likely signify the end of a great...

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November 10, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Banks Cry Wolf

When there is a message on voicemail for me to call my bank, I ignore it. I didn’t used to, but I do now. In the past, if I got one of those calls, it was because I was overdrawn or someone in Des Moines was using my credit card. There usually was something I needed to know or deal with. The urgency of the call was appropriate. In...

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November 8, 2010

By Tom Bradley

Fixed or Variable?

Last week a friend asked me what his daughter should do with her mortgage. The bank was giving her the option of going with a variable rate mortgage at 2.85% or a 5-year fixed at 3.5%. Investment professionals get asked this question all the time by friends...

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